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Mercedes Pascual

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H3N2 Subtype Influenza A Virus

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TOP 3
Mary M Rorick; Mercedes Pascual
Influenza evolution navigates stability valleys.
Manojit Roy; Menno J Bouma; Ramesh C Dhiman; Edward L Ionides; Mercedes Pascual
The potential elimination of Plasmodium vivax malaria by relapse treatment: insights from a transmission model and surveillance data from NW India.
Daniel Zinder; Trevor Bedford; Sunetra Gupta; Mercedes Pascual
The roles of competition and mutation in shaping antigenic and genetic diversity in influenza.

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All Publications

2013: Mary M Rorick; Mercedes Pascual
Influenza evolution navigates stability valleys.
eLife 2013;2():e00842.
2013: Manojit Roy; Menno J Bouma; Ramesh C Dhiman; Edward L Ionides; Mercedes Pascual
The potential elimination of Plasmodium vivax malaria by relapse treatment: insights from a transmission model and surveillance data from NW India.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases 2013;7(1):e1979.
2013: Daniel Zinder; Trevor Bedford; Sunetra Gupta; Mercedes Pascual
The roles of competition and mutation in shaping antigenic and genetic diversity in influenza.
PLoS pathogens 2013;9(1):e1003104.
2012: Robert C Reiner; Muhammad B. Yunus; Michael Emch; A S G Faruque; Aaron A King; Mercedes Pascual
Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2012;109(6):2033-6.
2012: Yael Artzy-Randrup; Donald Chen; Karen Day; Andrew P Dobson; Mary M Rorick; Mercedes Pascual
Population structuring of multi-copy, antigen-encoding genes in Plasmodium falciparum.
eLife 2012;1():e00093.
2012: Trevor Bedford; Andrew Rambaut; Mercedes Pascual
Canalization of the evolutionary trajectory of the human influenza virus.
BMC biology 2012;10():38.
2011: Richard D Zinck; Mercedes Pascual; Volker Grimm
Understanding shifts in wildfire regimes as emergent threshold phenomena.
The American naturalist 2011;178(6):E149-61.
2011: Kathleen F Bush; George Luber; S Rani Kotha; R S Dhaliwal; Vikas Kapil; Mercedes Pascual; Daniel G Brown; Howard Frumkin; R C Dhiman; Jeremy Hess; Mark L Wilson; Kalpana Balakrishnan; Joseph Eisenberg; Tanvir Kaur; Richard Rood; Stuart Batterman; Aley Joseph; Carina J Gronlund; Arun Agrawal; Howard Hu
Impacts of climate change on public health in India: future research directions.
Environmental health perspectives 2011;119(6):765-70.
2011: Sarah Cobey; Mercedes Pascual
Consequences of host heterogeneity, epitope immunodominance, and immune breadth for strain competition.
Journal of theoretical biology 2011;270(1):80-7.
2011: Trevor Bedford; Sarah Cobey; Mercedes Pascual
Strength and tempo of selection revealed in viral gene genealogies.
BMC evolutionary biology 2011;11():220.
2011: Andres Baeza; Menno J Bouma; Ramesh Dhiman; Andrew P Dobson; Harish C Srivastava; Mercedes Pascual
Climate forcing and desert malaria: the effect of irrigation.
Malaria journal 2011;10():190.
2010: Sarah Cobey; Mercedes Pascual; Ulf Dieckmann
Ecological factors driving the long-term evolution of influenza's host range.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2010;277(1695):2803-10.
2010: Trevor Bedford; Sarah Cobey; Peter Beerli; Mercedes Pascual
Global migration dynamics underlie evolution and persistence of human influenza A (H3N2).
PLoS pathogens 2010;6(5):e1000918.
2010: Yael Artzy-Randrup; David Alonso; Mercedes Pascual
Transmission intensity and drug resistance in malaria population dynamics: implications for climate change.
PloS one 2010;5(10):e13588.
2010: Karina Laneri; Anindya Bhadra; Edward L Ionides; Menno J Bouma; Ramesh C Dhiman; Rajpal S Yadav; Mercedes Pascual
Forcing versus feedback: epidemic malaria and monsoon rains in northwest India.
PLoS computational biology 2010;6(9):e1000898.
2010: Diego Ruiz-Moreno; Mercedes Pascual; Michael Emch; Muhammad B. Yunus
Spatial clustering in the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic cholera.
BMC infectious diseases 2010;10():51.
2009: Luis Fernando Chaves; Akira Kaneko; Mercedes Pascual
Random, top-down, or bottom-up coexistence of parasites: malaria population dynamics in multi-parasitic settings.
Ecology 2009;90(9):2414-25.
2009: Stefano Allesina; Mercedes Pascual
Googling food webs: can an eigenvector measure species' importance for coextinctions?
PLoS computational biology 2009;5(9):e1000494.
2009: Mercedes Pascual; Andrew P Dobson; Menno J Bouma
Underestimating malaria risk under variable temperatures.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2009;106(33):13645-6.
2009: Stefano Allesina; Mercedes Pascual
Food web models: a plea for groups.
Ecology letters 2009;12(7):652-62.
2009: Andy Dobson; Stefano Allesina; Kevin Lafferty; Mercedes Pascual
The assembly, collapse and restoration of food webs.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 2009;364(1524):1803-6.
2009: Stefano Allesina; Antonio Bodini; Mercedes Pascual
Functional links and robustness in food webs.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 2009;364(1524):1701-9.
2009: Mercedes Pascual; Menno J Bouma
Do rising temperatures matter?
Ecology 2009;90(4):906-12.
2008: Aaron A King; Edward L Ionides; Mercedes Pascual; Menno J Bouma
Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics.
Nature 2008;454(7206):877-80.
2008: john mclaughlin; Stefano Allesina; Matias Arim; Cherie J Briggs; Giulio De Leo; Andrew P Dobson; Jennifer A Dunne; Pieter T J Johnson; Armand M Kuris; David J Marcogliese; Neo D Martinez; Jane Memmott; Pablo A Marquet; John P McLaughlin; Erin A Mordecai; Mercedes Pascual; Robert Poulin; David W Thieltges
Parasites in food webs: the ultimate missing links.
Ecology letters 2008;11(6):533-46.
2008: Stefano Allesina; David Alonso; Mercedes Pascual
A general model for food web structure.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2008;320(5876):658-61.
2008: Claudia Torres Codeço; Subhash Lele; Mercedes Pascual; Menno Bouma; Albert I Ko
A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong nonlinear response to environmental drivers: application to two water-borne diseases.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2008;5(19):247-52.
2008: Mercedes Pascual; B Cazelles; Menno J Bouma; Luis Fernando Chaves; Katia Koelle
Shifting patterns: malaria dynamics and rainfall variability in an African highland.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2008;275(1631):123-32.
2008: Luis Fernando Chaves; Akira Kaneko; George Taleo; Mercedes Pascual; Mark Wilson
Malaria transmission pattern resilience to climatic variability is mediated by insecticide-treated nets.
Malaria journal 2008;7():100.
2008: Luis Fernando Chaves; Justin M Cohen; Mercedes Pascual; Mark Wilson
Social exclusion modifies climate and deforestation impacts on a vector-borne disease.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases 2008;2(1):e176.
2007: Luis Fernando Chaves; Maria-Josefina Hernandez; Andrew P Dobson; Mercedes Pascual
Sources and sinks: revisiting the criteria for identifying reservoirs for American cutaneous leishmaniasis.
Trends in parasitology 2007;23(7):311-6.
2007: David Alonso; Alan J McKane; Mercedes Pascual
Stochastic amplification in epidemics.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2007;4(14):575-82.
2007: Juan Pablo Aparicio; Mercedes Pascual
Building epidemiological models from R0: an implicit treatment of transmission in networks.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2007;274(1609):505-12.
2007: Luis Fernando Chaves; Mercedes Pascual
Comparing models for early warning systems of neglected tropical diseases.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases 2007;1(1):e33.
2006: Katia Koelle; Sarah Cobey; Bryan T Grenfell; Mercedes Pascual
Epochal evolution shapes the phylodynamics of interpandemic influenza A (H3N2) in humans.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2006;314(5807):1898-903.
2006: Katia Koelle; Mercedes Pascual; Md Yunus
Serotype cycles in cholera dynamics.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2006;273(1603):2879-86.
2006: Scott D Peacor; Stefano Allesina; Rick L Riolo; Mercedes Pascual
Phenotypic plasticity opposes species invasions by altering fitness surface.
PLoS biology 2006;4(11):e372.
2006: David Alonso; Mercedes Pascual
Comment on "A keystone mutualism drives pattern in a power function".
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2006;313(5794):1739; author reply 1739.
2006: Luis Fernando Chaves; Mercedes Pascual
Climate cycles and forecasts of cutaneous leishmaniasis, a nonstationary vector-borne disease.
PLoS medicine 2006;3(8):e295.
2006: Mercedes Pascual; Katia Koelle; Andrew P Dobson
Hyperinfectivity in cholera: a new mechanism for an old epidemiological model?
PLoS medicine 2006;3(6):e280.
2006: Mercedes Pascual; J A Ahumada; Luis Fernando Chaves; X Rodó; Menno J Bouma
Malaria resurgence in the East African highlands: temperature trends revisited.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2006;103(15):5829-34.
2006: Sonia Altizer; Andrew Dobson; Parviez Hosseini; Peter Hudson; Mercedes Pascual; Pejman Rohani
Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases.
Ecology letters 2006;9(4):467-84.
2005: Katia Koelle; Xavier Rodó; Mercedes Pascual; Md Yunus; Golam Mostafa
Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics.
Nature 2005;436(7051):696-700.
2005: Mercedes Pascual
Computational ecology: from the complex to the simple and back.
PLoS computational biology 2005;1(2):101-5.
2005: Katia Koelle; Mercedes Pascual; Md Yunus
Pathogen adaptation to seasonal forcing and climate change.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2005;272(1566):971-7.
2005: Khalid Boushaba; Mercedes Pascual
Dynamics of the 'echo' effect in a phytoplankton system with nitrogen fixation.
Bulletin of mathematical biology 2005;67(3):487-507.
2005: Mercedes Pascual; Frédéric Guichard
Criticality and disturbance in spatial ecological systems.
Trends in ecology & evolution 2005;20(2):88-95.
2005: Mercedes Pascual; Andy Dobson
Seasonal patterns of infectious diseases.
PLoS medicine 2005;2(1):e5.
2004: Manojit Roy; Mercedes Pascual; Simon A Levin
Competitive coexistence in a dynamic landscape.
Theoretical population biology 2004;66(4):341-53.
2004: Katia Koelle; Mercedes Pascual
Disentangling extrinsic from intrinsic factors in disease dynamics: a nonlinear time series approach with an application to cholera.
The American naturalist 2004;163(6):901-13.
2004: Margaret Palmer; Emily Bernhardt; Elizabeth Chornesky; Scott Collins; Andrew Dobson; Clifford Duke; Barry Gold; Robert Jacobson; SHARON KINGSLAND; Rhonda Kranz; Michael Mappin; M Luisa Martinez; Fiorenza Micheli; Jennifer Morse; Michael Pace; Mercedes Pascual; Stephen R Palumbi; O J Reichman; Ashley Simons; Alan Townsend; Monica Turner
Ecology. Ecology for a crowded planet.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2004;304(5675):1251-2.
2003: Mercedes Pascual; Pierre Mazzega
Quasicycles revisited: apparent sensitivity to initial conditions.
Theoretical population biology 2003;64(3):385-95.
2002: Xavier Rodo; Mercedes Pascual; George Fuchs; A S G Faruque
ENSO and cholera: a nonstationary link related to climate change?
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2002;99(20):12901-6.
2002: Mercedes Pascual; Manojit Roy; Frédéric Guichard; Glenn Flierl
Cluster size distributions: signatures of self-organization in spatial ecologies.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 2002;357(1421):657-66.
2002: Mercedes Pascual; Menno J Bouma; Andrew P Dobson
Cholera and climate: revisiting the quantitative evidence.
Microbes and infection / Institut Pasteur 2002;4(2):237-45.
2001: James S Clark; Stephen R Carpenter; M Barber; S Collins; Andy Dobson; Jonathan A Foley; D M Lodge; Mercedes Pascual; R Pielke; W Pizer; Catherine M Pringle; Walter V Reid; K A Rose; Osvaldo E Sala; William H Schlesinger; Diana H Wall; D Wear
Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2001;293(5530):657-60.
2000: Mercedes Pascual; X Rodó; S P Ellner; Rita R Colwell; Menno J Bouma
Cholera dynamics and El Niño-Southern Oscillation.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2000;289(5485):1766-9.
1999: Mercedes Pascual; S A Levin
Spatial scaling in a benthic population model with density-dependent disturbance.
Theoretical population biology 1999;56(1):106-22.