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Neil Ferguson

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Simon Cauchemez; Scott Epperson; Lyn Finelli; David Swerdlow; Matthew Biggerstaff; Neil M Ferguson
Using routine surveillance data to estimate the epidemic potential of emerging zoonoses: application to the emergence of US swine origin influenza A H3N2v virus.
Tini Garske; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani
Estimating air temperature and its influence on malaria transmission across Africa.
Eric de Silva; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser
Inferring pandemic growth rates from sequence data.

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All Publications

2013: Simon Cauchemez; Scott Epperson; Lyn Finelli; David Swerdlow; Matthew Biggerstaff; Neil M Ferguson
Using routine surveillance data to estimate the epidemic potential of emerging zoonoses: application to the emergence of US swine origin influenza A H3N2v virus.
PLoS medicine 2013;10(3):e1001399.
2013: Tini Garske; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani
Estimating air temperature and its influence on malaria transmission across Africa.
PloS one 2013;8(2):e56487.
2012: Eric de Silva; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser
Inferring pandemic growth rates from sequence data.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2012;9(73):1797-808.
2012: Irina Chis Ster; Peter J Dodd; Neil M Ferguson
Within-farm transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease as revealed by the 2001 epidemic in Great Britain.
Epidemics 2012;4(3):158-69.
2012: Maria D Van Kerkhove; Robert G Webster; Maria Zambon; Yi Guan; Marc Lipsitch; Arnold S Monto; Angus Nicoll; J S Malik Peiris; Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson
Comment on "Seroevidence for H5N1 influenza infections in humans: meta-analysis".
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2012;336(6088):1506; author reply 1506.
2012: Simon Cauchemez; Neil M Ferguson
Methods to infer transmission risk factors in complex outbreak data.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2012;9(68):456-69.
2012: Simon Cauchemez; Annette Fox; Nguyen Tran Hien; Le Nguyen Minh Hoa; Peter Horby; Le Quynh Mai; Pham Quang Thai; Le Thi Thanh; Neil M Ferguson
Influenza infection rates, measurement errors and the interpretation of paired serology.
PLoS pathogens 2012;8(12):e1003061.
2012: James Truscott; Neil M Ferguson
Evaluating the adequacy of gravity models as a description of human mobility for epidemic modelling.
PLoS computational biology 2012;8(10):e1002699.
2011: Lorenzo Pellis; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser
Epidemic growth rate and household reproduction number in communities of households, schools and workplaces.
Journal of mathematical biology 2011;63(4):691-734.
2011: Lulla Opatowski; Maria Van Kerkhove; Simon Cauchemez; Eric de Silva; Christophe Fraser; Jamie Griffin; Emily J Lyons; Neil M Ferguson
Transmission characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: comparison of 8 Southern hemisphere countries.
PLoS pathogens 2011;7(9):e1002225.
2011: Simon Cauchemez; Achuyt Bhattarai; Tiffany L Marchbanks; Ryan P Fagan; Stephen Ostroff; Neil M Ferguson; David Swerdlow
Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2011;108(7):2825-30.
2011: Rosalind M Eggo; Simon Cauchemez; Neil M Ferguson
Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2011;8(55):233-43.
2011: Michael T White; James T Griffin; María-Gloria Basáñez; Thomas S Churcher; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani
Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics.
Parasites & vectors 2011;4():153.
2011: Christl A Donnelly; Lyn Finelli; Simon Cauchemez; Sonja J Olsen; Saumil Doshi; Michael L Jackson; Erin D Kennedy; Laurie Kamimoto; Tiffany L Marchbanks; Oliver W Morgan; Minal Patel; David L Swerdlow; Neil M Ferguson
Serial intervals and the temporal distribution of secondary infections within households of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): implications for influenza control recommendations.
Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2011;52 Suppl 1():S123-30.
2010: Maria Van Kerkhove; Tommi Asikainen; Niels G Becker; Steven Bjorge; Jean-Claude Desenclos; Thais dos Santos; Christophe Fraser; Gabriel M Leung; Marc Lipsitch; Ira M Longini; Emma S McBryde; Cathy E Roth; David K Shay; Derek J Smith; Jacco Wallinga; Peter John White; Neil M Ferguson; Steven Riley
Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling.
PLoS medicine 2010;7(6):e1000275.
2010: Jamie T Griffin; Deirdre Hollingsworth; Lucy C Okell; Thomas S Churcher; Michael White; Wes Hinsley; Teun Bousema; Chris J Drakeley; Neil M Ferguson; María-Gloria Basáñez; Azra C Ghani
Reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa: a model-based evaluation of intervention strategies.
PLoS medicine 2010;7(8):.
2009: Simon Cauchemez; Christl A Donnelly; Carrie Reed; Azra C Ghani; Christophe Fraser; Charlotte K Kent; Lyn Finelli; Neil M Ferguson
Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States.
The New England journal of medicine 2009;361(27):2619-27.
2009: L Pellis; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser
Threshold parameters for a model of epidemic spread among households and workplaces.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2009;6(40):979-87.
2009: Alexander Lange; Neil M Ferguson
Antigenic diversity, transmission mechanisms, and the evolution of pathogens.
PLoS computational biology 2009;5(10):e1000536.
2009: Simon Cauchemez; Neil M Ferguson; Claude Wachtel; Anders Tegnell; Guillaume Saour; Ben Duncan; Angus Nicoll
Closure of schools during an influenza pandemic.
The Lancet infectious diseases 2009;9(8):473-81.
2009: Christophe Fraser; Christl A Donnelly; Simon Cauchemez; William P Hanage; Maria Van Kerkhove; Deirdre Hollingsworth; Jamie Griffin; Rebecca F Baggaley; Helen E Jenkins; Emily J Lyons; Thibaut Jombart; Wes R Hinsley; Nicholas C Grassly; Francois Balloux; Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Andrew Rambaut; Oliver G Pybus; Hugo Lopez-Gatell; Celia M Alpuche-Aranda; Ietza Bojorquez Chapela; Ethel Palacios Zavala; Dulce Ma Espejo Guevara; Francesco Checchi; Erika Garcia; Stephane Hugonnet; Cathy Roth
Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2009;324(5934):1557-61.
2009: J E Truscott; Neil M Ferguson
Control of scrapie in the UK sheep population.
Epidemiology and infection 2009;137(6):775-86.
2009: J E Truscott; Neil M Ferguson
Transmission dynamics and mechanisms of endemicity of scrapie in the UK sheep population.
Epidemiology and infection 2009;137(6):762-74.
2009: Irina Chis Ster; Brajendra K Singh; Neil M Ferguson
Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: the example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain.
Epidemics 2009;1(1):21-34.
2009: Peter J Dodd; Neil M Ferguson
A many-body field theory approach to stochastic models in population biology.
PloS one 2009;4(9):e6855.
2009: Tini Garske; Judith Legrand; Christl A Donnelly; Helen Ward; Simon Cauchemez; Christophe Fraser; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani
Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic.
BMJ (Clinical research ed.) 2009;339():b2840.
2009: Judith Legrand; Joseph R Egan; Ian M Hall; Simon Cauchemez; Steve Leach; Neil M Ferguson
Estimating the location and spatial extent of a covert anthrax release.
PLoS computational biology 2009;5(1):e1000356.
2008: Lorenzo Pellis; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser
The relationship between real-time and discrete-generation models of epidemic spread.
Mathematical biosciences 2008;216(1):63-70.
2008: Simon Cauchemez; Neil M Ferguson
Likelihood-based estimation of continuous-time epidemic models from time-series data: application to measles transmission in London.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2008;5(25):885-97.
2008: P E Parham; B K Singh; Neil M Ferguson
Analytic approximation of spatial epidemic models of foot and mouth disease.
Theoretical population biology 2008;73(3):349-68.
2008: Simon Cauchemez; Alain-jacques Valleron; Pierre-Yves Boëlle; Antoine Flahault; Neil M Ferguson
Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data.
Nature 2008;452(7188):750-4.
2008: Fabrice CARRAT; Elisabeta Vergu; Neil M Ferguson; Magali Lemaitre; Simon Cauchemez; Steve Leach; Alain-jacques Valleron
Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies.
American journal of epidemiology 2008;167(7):775-85.
2008: M Elizabeth Halloran; Neil M Ferguson; Stephen Eubank; Stephen Eubank; Derek A T Cummings; Bryan Lewis; Shufu Xu; Christophe Fraser; Anil Vullikanti; Timothy C Germann; Diane Wagener; Richard Beckman; Kai Kadau; Chris Barrett; Catherine A Macken; Donald S. Burke; Philip Cooley
Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2008;105(12):4639-44.
2007: P J Dodd; Neil M Ferguson
Approximate disease dynamics in household-structured populations.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2007;4(17):1103-6.
2007: James Truscott; Tini Garske; Irina Chis-Ster; Javier Guitian; Dirk Pfeiffer; Lucy Snow; John Wilesmith; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani
Control of a highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza outbreak in the GB poultry flock.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2007;274(1623):2287-95.
2007: Deirdre Hollingsworth; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Frequent travelers and rate of spread of epidemics.
Emerging infectious diseases 2007;13(9):1288-94.
2007: Irina Chis Ster; Neil M Ferguson
Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain.
PloS one 2007;2(6):e502.
2006: Paul E Parham; Neil M Ferguson
Space and contact networks: capturing the locality of disease transmission.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2006;3(9):483-93.
2006: Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson
Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in Great Britain.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2006;103(33):12637-42.
2006: Neil M Ferguson; Derek A T Cummings; Christophe Fraser; James C Cajka; philip cooley; Donald S. Burke
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.
Nature 2006;442(7101):448-52.
2006: Rebecca F Baggaley; Geoff P Garnett; Neil M Ferguson
Modelling the impact of antiretroviral use in resource-poor settings.
PLoS medicine 2006;3(4):e124.
2006: TJ Hagenaars; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson
Epidemiological analysis of data for scrapie in Great Britain.
Epidemiology and infection 2006;134(2):359-67.
2006: Simon Cauchemez; Pierre-Yves Boelle; Christi A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Guy Thomas; Gabriel M Leung; Anthony J Hedley; Roy M Anderson; Alain-jacques Valleron
Real-time estimates in early detection of SARS.
Emerging infectious diseases 2006;12(1):110-3.
2005: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; J Hooper; Azra C Ghani; Christophe Fraser; Lucy M. A. Marshall; Richard Rode; P Vernazza; D Lapins; S L Mayer; Roy M Anderson
Adherence to antiretroviral therapy and its impact on clinical outcome in HIV-infected patients.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society 2005;2(4):349-63.
2005: Rebecca F Baggaley; Neil M Ferguson; Geoff P Garnett
The epidemiological impact of antiretroviral use predicted by mathematical models: a review.
Emerging themes in epidemiology 2005;2():9.
2005: Neil M Ferguson; Derek A T Cummings; Simon Cauchemez; Christophe Fraser; Steven Riley; Aronrag Meeyai; Sopon Iamsirithaworn; Donald S. Burke
Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia.
Nature 2005;437(7056):209-14.
2005: Laith J Abu-Raddad; Neil M Ferguson
Characterizing the symmetric equilibrium of multi-strain host-pathogen systems in the presence of cross immunity.
Journal of mathematical biology 2005;50(5):531-58.
2004: Laith J Abu-Raddad; Neil M Ferguson
The impact of cross-immunity, mutation and stochastic extinction on pathogen diversity.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2004;271(1556):2431-8.
2004: Gabriel M Leung; Anthony J Hedley; Lai-Ming Ho; Patsy Chau; Irene O L Wong; Thuan Q Thach; Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; Christophe Fraser; Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson; Thomas Tsang; Pak-Yin Leung; Vivian Wong; Jane C K Chan; Eva L H Tsui; Su-Vui Lo; Tai Hing Lam
The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: an analysis of all 1755 patients.
Annals of internal medicine 2004;141(9):662-73.
2004: Christl A Donnelly; Matthew C Fisher; Christophe Fraser; Azra C Ghani; Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome.
The Lancet infectious diseases 2004;4(11):672-83.
2004: Gabriel M Leung; Pui-Hong Chung; Thomas Tsang; Wilina Lim; Steve K K Chan; Patsy Chau; Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Christophe Fraser; Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson; Yuk-lung Law; T Y W Mok; Tonny Ng; Alex Fu; Pak-Yin Leung; J S M Peiris; Tai Hing Lam; Anthony J Hedley
SARS-CoV antibody prevalence in all Hong Kong patient contacts.
Emerging infectious diseases 2004;10(9):1653-6.
2004: TJ Hagenaars; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson
Spatial heterogeneity and the persistence of infectious diseases.
Journal of theoretical biology 2004;229(3):349-59.
2004: Roy M Anderson; Christophe Fraser; Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; Steven Riley; Neil M Ferguson; Gabriel M Leung; Tai Hing Lam; Anthony J Hedley
Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 2004;359(1447):1091-105.
2004: Anne Schneeberger; Catherine H Mercer; Simon Gregson; Neil M Ferguson; Constance Nyamukapa; Roy M Anderson; Anne M Johnson; Geoff P Garnett
Scale-free networks and sexually transmitted diseases: a description of observed patterns of sexual contacts in Britain and Zimbabwe.
Sexually transmitted diseases 2004;31(6):380-7.
2004: Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser; Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Roy M Anderson
Public health. Public health risk from the avian H5N1 influenza epidemic.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2004;304(5673):968-9.
2004: Christophe Fraser; Steven Riley; Roy M Anderson; Neil M Ferguson
Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2004;101(16):6146-51.
2003: Steven Riley; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson
Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models.
Journal of theoretical biology 2003;225(4):419-30.
2003: Neil M Ferguson; Matt Keeling; W John Edmunds; Raymond Gani; Bryan T Grenfell; Roy M Anderson; steve leach
Planning for smallpox outbreaks.
Nature 2003;425(6959):681-5.
2003: TJ Hagenaars; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Dynamics of a scrapie outbreak in a flock of Romanov sheep--estimation of transmission parameters.
Epidemiology and infection 2003;131(2):1015-22.
2003: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly
Assessment of the risk posed by bovine spongiform encephalopathy in cattle in Great Britain and the impact of potential changes to current control measures.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2003;270(1524):1579-84.
2003: Steven Riley; Christophe Fraser; Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Laith J Abu-Raddad; Anthony J Hedley; Gabriel M Leung; Lai-Ming Ho; Tai Hing Lam; Thuan Q Thach; Patsy Chau; King-Pan Chan; Su-Vui Lo; Pak-Yin Leung; Thomas Tsang; William Ho; Koon-Hung Lee; E M C Lau; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2003;300(5627):1961-6.
2003: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Short-term projections for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease onsets.
Statistical methods in medical research 2003;12(3):191-201.
2003: Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; Roy M Anderson
Extending backcalculation to analyse BSE data.
Statistical methods in medical research 2003;12(3):177-90.
2003: Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Gabriel M Leung; Anthony J Hedley; Christophe Fraser; Steven Riley; Laith J Abu-Raddad; Lai-Ming Ho; Thuan Q Thach; Patsy Chau; King-Pan Chan; Tai Hing Lam; Lai-Yin Tse; Thomas Tsang; Shao-Haei Liu; James H B Kong; E M C Lau; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong.
Lancet 2003;361(9371):1761-6.
2003: Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UK.
BMC infectious diseases 2003;3():4.
2003: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Factors determining the pattern of the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) epidemic in the UK.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2003;270(1516):689-98.
2003: Neil M Ferguson; Susan Mallett; Helen Jackson; Noel Roberts; Penelope Ward
A population-dynamic model for evaluating the potential spread of drug-resistant influenza virus infections during community-based use of antivirals.
The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy 2003;51(4):977-90.
2003: Neil M Ferguson; Alison P Galvani; Robin M Bush
Ecological and immunological determinants of influenza evolution.
Nature 2003;422(6930):428-33.
2003: Alison P Galvani; Ronald M Coleman; Neil M Ferguson
The maintenance of sex in parasites.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2003;270(1510):19-28.
2002: Christophe Fraser; Neil M Ferguson; Frank de Wolf; Azra C Ghani; Geoff P Garnett; Roy M Anderson
Antigen-driven T-cell turnover.
Journal of theoretical biology 2002;219(2):177-92.
2002: Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; Roy M Anderson
Implications of BSE infection screening data for the scale of the British BSE epidemic and current European infection levels.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2002;269(1506):2179-90.
2002: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christophe Fraser; Christl A Donnelly; Sven Danner; Peter Reiss; Joep Lange; Jaap Goudsmit; Roy M Anderson; Frank de Wolf
Viral replication under combination antiretroviral therapy: a comparison of four different regimens.
Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) 2002;30(2):167-76.
2002: Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; TJ Hagenaars; Roy M Anderson
Estimating the human health risk from possible BSE infection of the British sheep flock.
Nature 2002;415(6870):420-4.
2002: Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
The transmission dynamics of BSE and vCJD.
Comptes rendus biologies 2002;325(1):37-47.
2001: Christophe Fraser; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Quantification of intrinsic residual viral replication in treated HIV-infected patients.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2001;98(26):15167-72.
2001: Azra C Ghani; Frank de Wolf; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; R Coutinho; F Miedema; Jaap Goudsmit; Roy M Anderson
Surrogate markers for disease progression in treated HIV infection.
Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) 2001;28(3):226-31.
2001: Christophe Fraser; Neil M Ferguson; F de Wolf; Roy M Anderson
The role of antigenic stimulation and cytotoxic T cell activity in regulating the long-term immunopathogenesis of HIV: mechanisms and clinical implications.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2001;268(1481):2085-95.
2001: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain.
Nature 2001;413(6855):542-8.
2001: TJ Hagenaars; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Persistence patterns of scrapie in a sheep flock.
Epidemiology and infection 2001;127(1):157-67.
2001: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions.
Science (New York, N.Y.) 2001;292(5519):1155-60.
2000: TJ Hagenaars; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
The transmission dynamics of the aetiological agent of scrapie in a sheep flock.
Mathematical biosciences 2000;168(2):117-35.
2000: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Predicted vCJD mortality in Great Britain.
Nature 2000;406(6796):583-4.
2000: C Fraser; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; J M Prins; J M Lange; Jaap Goudsmit; Roy M Anderson; F de Wolf
Reduction of the HIV-1-infected T-cell reservoir by immune activation treatment is dose-dependent and restricted by the potency of antiretroviral drugs.
AIDS (London, England) 2000;14(6):659-69.
2000: TJ Hagenaars; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Roy M Anderson
Feed-borne transmission and case clustering of BSE.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2000;267(1440):205-15.
2000: Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Assessment of the prevalence of vCJD through testing tonsils and appendices for abnormal prion protein.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 2000;267(1438):23-9.
1999: Neil M Ferguson; F deWolf; A C Ghani; C Fraser; Christl A Donnelly; P Reiss; J M Lange; S A Danner; Geoff P Garnett; Jaap Goudsmit; Roy M Anderson
Antigen-driven CD4+ T cell and HIV-1 dynamics: residual viral replication under highly active antiretroviral therapy.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 1999;96(26):15167-72.
1999: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; Roy M Anderson
Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of dengue: insights from age-stratified sero-prevalence surveys.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 1999;354(1384):757-68.
1999: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; M E J Woolhouse; Roy M Anderson
Estimation of the basic reproduction number of BSE: the intensity of transmission in British cattle.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1999;266(1414):23-32.
1998: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; TJ Hagenaars; Roy M Anderson
Epidemiological determinants of the pattern and magnitude of the vCJD epidemic in Great Britain.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1998;265(1413):2443-52.
1998: Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; TJ Hagenaars; Roy M Anderson
Estimation of the number of people incubating variant CJD.
Lancet 1998;352(9137):1353-4.
1998: Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; Christl A Donnelly; G O Denny; Roy M Anderson
BSE in Northern Ireland: epidemiological patterns past, present and future.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1998;265(1396):545-54.
1997: Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; J W Wilesmith; Roy M Anderson
Analysis of dam-calf pairs of BSE cases: confirmation of a maternal risk enhancement.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1997;264(1388):1647-56.
1997: Christl A Donnelly; Azra C Ghani; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Recent trends in the BSE epidemic.
Nature 1997;389(6654):903.
1997: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; M E J Woolhouse; Roy M Anderson
A genetic interpretation of heightened risk of BSE in offspring of affected dams.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1997;264(1387):1445-55.
1997: Sunetra Gupta; Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson
Vaccination and the population structure of antigenically diverse pathogens that exchange genetic material.
Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society 1997;264(1387):1435-43.
1997: Neil M Ferguson; Christl A Donnelly; M E J Woolhouse; Roy M Anderson
The epidemiology of BSE in cattle herds in Great Britain. II. Model construction and analysis of transmission dynamics.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 1997;352(1355):803-38.
1997: Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; Azra C Ghani; M E J Woolhouse; C J Watt; Roy M Anderson
The epidemiology of BSE in cattle herds in Great Britain. I. Epidemiological processes, demography of cattle and approaches to control by culling.
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 1997;352(1355):781-801.
1996: Neil M Ferguson; D James Nokes; Roy M Anderson
Dynamical complexity in age-structured models of the transmission of the measles virus: epidemiological implications at high levels of vaccine uptake.
Mathematical biosciences 1996;138(2):101-30.
1996: Roy M Anderson; Christl A Donnelly; Neil M Ferguson; M E J Woolhouse; C J Watt; H J Udy; S MaWhinney; S P Dunstan; T R Southwood; John Wilesmith; J B Ryan; L J Hoinville; J E Hillerton; A R Austin; G A Wells
Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of BSE in British cattle.
Nature 1996;382(6594):779-88.
1996: Neil M Ferguson; Roy M Anderson; Geoff P Garnett
Mass vaccination to control chickenpox: the influence of zoster.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 1996;93(14):7231-5.